Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.061030 0.069051 0.077245 0.086212 0.095718 0.105469 0.116200
2025-09-07 0.048567 0.060365 0.072991 0.087374 0.103179 0.119905 0.138835
2025-09-14 0.040876 0.055014 0.070731 0.089194 0.110015 0.132529 0.158487
2025-09-21 0.036331 0.052326 0.070674 0.092754 0.118143 0.146029 0.178605
2025-09-28 0.031515 0.048646 0.068919 0.093879 0.123098 0.155641 0.194093
2025-10-05 0.030716 0.049653 0.072521 0.101083 0.134884 0.172844 0.218000
2025-10-12 0.026232 0.045536 0.069569 0.100220 0.137055 0.178904 0.229145
2025-10-19 0.023528 0.043448 0.068894 0.101899 0.142051 0.188079 0.243724
2025-10-26 0.020655 0.040834 0.067335 0.102316 0.145398 0.195227 0.255881
2025-11-02 0.018608 0.039168 0.066844 0.103933 0.150088 0.203868 0.269699
2025-11-09 0.016290 0.036870 0.065353 0.104157 0.152982 0.210313 0.280904
2025-11-16 0.013290 0.033195 0.061768 0.101508 0.152193 0.212266 0.286746
2025-11-23 0.010595 0.029750 0.058409 0.099169 0.151899 0.214999 0.293785
2025-11-30 0.009178 0.028265 0.057732 0.100324 0.155977 0.223019 0.307132
2025-12-07 0.008126 0.027278 0.057691 0.102273 0.161024 0.232193 0.321843
2025-12-14 0.007633 0.027263 0.059056 0.106104 0.168458 0.244271 0.340022
2025-12-21 0.006605 0.026060 0.058547 0.107315 0.172495 0.252174 0.353196
2025-12-28 0.007060 0.027910 0.062747 0.115055 0.184978 0.270463 0.378853
2026-01-04 0.005717 0.025823 0.060753 0.114128 0.186201 0.274881 0.387831
2026-01-11 0.005037 0.025042 0.060743 0.115931 0.190942 0.283616 0.401992
2026-01-18 0.004202 0.023739 0.059813 0.116378 0.193870 0.290082 0.413397
2026-01-25 0.003660 0.023036 0.059810 0.118112 0.198470 0.298611 0.427293
2026-02-01 0.002973 0.021780 0.058807 0.118352 0.201054 0.304600 0.438084